Miles Costello
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Fears of a fresh spate of hedge fund collapses grew today as it emerged that the $2 trillion industry had put in its worst investment performance during the first half of the year since most credible records began.
The dreadful start, the worst in almost 20 years, was attributed to the slide in world equity markets, the onset of economic gloom in Europe and America and the continued souring effects of the international credit crunch.
Hedge fund returns during the first six months were more dismal than in 1998, when Long-Term Capital Management failed spectacularly, almost bringing the international financial system to its knees and when Russia defaulted on its debt obligations and the Asian crisis raged.
According to Hedge Fund Research, the investment performance among alternative asset managers globally fell by almost 0.7 per cent in June. This took the year to date return to minus 0.75 per cent. The Chicago-based researcher has not recorded such a bad start to a year since it began amassing records in 1990.
It comes as the rate of hedge fund start-ups runs at its lowest level for seven years amid a sharp rise in fund liquidations, particularly among single managers and small teams.
"I'm not going to tell you that it's easy out there," one hedge fund manager said.
The figures suggest that the high-rolling world of London and New York hedge fund managers, characterised by multi-million bonuses in the good years, could come crashing to earth this year.
The industry has only posted one loss-making year, in 2002, according to HFR. Figures published yesterday suggested 2008 may break a six-year winning streak.
Taco Sieburgh, director of research at Liability Solutions, said that when set against the volatility of world stock and bond markets, the performance in the first half was actually relatively strong.
Mr Sieburgh noted that the S&P 500 index in the US fell 13 per cent in the first half and that the Lehman Brothers high-yield bond index was down 1.3 per cent over the same period.
"If you have markets moving that severely, being down less than 1 per cent is not a bad performance," he said.
Mr Sieburgh said investors remained highly confident in hedge fund strategies and there was every chance that managers would return to positive territory by the end of the year.
The hedge fund industry has suffered several high profile collapses since the beginning of the year, including Peloton, the $2 billion bond fund set up by former Goldman Sachs bankers. Numerous London-based credit traders were also caught on the wrong side of the biggest change in market sentiment about interest rates in a generation early this year. Over a seven to ten day period, the City moved from being convinced that interest rates would fall over the near term to the near certainty that rates would rise.
Some managers complained that being the wrong of bets on sterling had wiped out huge chunks of their performance for the year to date.
Hedge funds have never been under such scrutiny. In the past four weeks, the City’s chief regulator, the Financial Services Authority, has introduced stringent new rules governing the short-selling of shares in companies that are carrying out rights issues. The regulator also sharpened up disclosure rules on contracts for difference, a form of spread-betting. Both moves were seen as damaging to hedge funds.
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The nice things is the managers of hedge funds, who took a big chunk of any gains, won't have to take any part of the losses. That makes me feel much better. Nevertheless, hedge funds do expose the hopeless and expensive performance of traditional fund management.
Frank Upton, Solihull,
no francesco 0.7 down in a month and a overall year loss so far.
but im sure some will come out smelling of roses.
simon, bristol, uk
When they make money they are smart,when the lose it is all everyone elses fault ?
jason palmer, london,
Makes me feel quite smug that my funds are up over 3% this year - and all I did was leave it in my building society account!
Tom D, London,
Sledge funds are yesterdays news now.
Sean, London,
Who, exactly invests in hedge funds?: Their can't surely be that many weathy people with spare "cash". More likely people with assets were persauded to borrow against those assets & put the money in a "hedge fund" hoping the returns will exceed the interest due. Risky and not so clever now.
tom atkins, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
Thye need a better name than hegde funds (a misnomer like risk arbitrage) as only some of them hedge. The majority just take high risks and hope tha enough come off.
William, Newtownabbey, UK
Hedge funds exist to give absolute returns, not a performance relative to whichever index is currently doing even worse. If you're interested in relative performance I would suggest my "leave it under the mattress" fund. My fees are very low.
Adrian, London,
Thei tough times are still 2 trillion better than my best times!
Glynn, Kingston,
I thought that market volatility was EXACTLY the condition on which hedge funds thrived. Maybe the managers aren't as good as they thought. Negative bonuses all 'round, then? Yeh, that'll be right.
Bill Peter, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Didn't see Francesco's post - but that is EXACTLY what I was talking about. The real story here isn't really about the current performance of hedge funds, but rather what these trends tell us about how rough market conditions have been.
Latch, London, UK
down 0.7% for the year?
i should have given them all my money, not just 50%.
this is a great performance i think and should lead to higher allocations from the "long (and wrong) only crowd" that is down 20% or more this year.
Francesco, London, UK
Mr Sieburgh doesn't seem to appreciate that since 2002 the S&P500 is up 26% compared to cash, while hedge funds are only up 11%. Compared to T bills, hedge funds have lost 9% since July 2007, which was also the peak of the stock market. More interesting is - why do hedge funds track the s&p500?
Andrew, London,